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How do MoE work?

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I always thought they stored the current state of MoE progress as a moving average rather than actually tracking the last 100 games for each tank, but I just had these two consecutive games:


which would tend to suggest otherwise.

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It's a weighted exponential moving average (newer battles have more impact that older ones).  You can find the info by searching around wotlabs referencing above, but 13Diciples has put an article together here.
It should answer your questions.  

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